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Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Arsenal crestArsenalvsNewcastle crestNewcastle

Kickoff: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET · Emirates Stadium, London

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Arsenal

67%

Draw

Draw

14%

Away

Newcastle

19%

Model pick: Arsenal

Expected goals: 3.9—2.4(total 6.3)
Upset risk: 5/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?67%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 26

Arsenal

1

FT

Newcastle

0

Model picked (T−24h)

Arsenal (67%)

Actually happened

Arsenal (67%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:29:16.556Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

fa3690562b61955d4c2886ecd901dac8d4347aa8bf2c3218b2257213af0f28d0
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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