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Probabilistic Analysis

Match Predictions

Every fixture is analysed by a Dixon-Coles statistical model and a Claude AI reviewer. The final probabilities are locked with a SHA256 hash 24 hours before kickoff — you can verify that the forecast below wasn't changed after the result.

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Fri, Apr 246:30 PM
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

91%
Model pick:HOME·xG 5.1
Fri, Apr 246:45 PM
Napoli vs Cremonese
★★★★☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

82%
14%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.5
Fri, Apr 246:45 PM
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens
★★★★☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

45%
21%
34%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.6
Fri, Apr 247:00 PM
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
★★★☆☆

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

19%
19%
62%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 3.6
Fri, Apr 247:00 PM
Real Betis vs Real Madrid
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

49%
23%
28%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.3

Upcoming Predictions · 36

Sat, Apr 2511:30 AM
Fulham vs Aston Villa
★★★☆☆

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

52%
21%
27%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.4

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 2512:00 PM
Alaves vs Mallorca
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

68%
17%
16%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 251:00 PM
Parma vs Pisa
★★★☆☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

61%
24%
15%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.3

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 251:00 PM
Lyon vs Auxerre
★★★☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

49%
30%
21%
Model pick:HOME·xG 2.6

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 251:30 PM
FC Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

53%
17%
30%
Model pick:HOME·xG 5.6

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 251:30 PM
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

26%
17%
57%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 5.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 251:30 PM
1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli
★★☆☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

56%
21%
23%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.1

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 251:30 PM
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

14%
16%
71%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 4.8

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 251:30 PM
VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

47%
21%
32%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 252:00 PM
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
★★★☆☆

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

45%
33%
22%
Model pick:HOME·xG 2.3

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 252:00 PM
West Ham vs Everton
★★★☆☆

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

50%
24%
25%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.8

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 252:00 PM
Wolves vs Tottenham
★★★☆☆

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

59%
18%
23%
Model pick:HOME·xG 5.2

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 252:15 PM
Getafe vs Barcelona
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

36%
25%
39%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 2.4

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 254:00 PM
Bologna vs AS Roma
★★★☆☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

56%
21%
22%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.1

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 254:30 PM
Arsenal vs Newcastle
★★★☆☆

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

67%
14%
19%
Model pick:HOME·xG 6.3

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 254:30 PM
Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

45%
17%
38%
Model pick:HOME·xG 5.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 254:30 PM
Valencia vs Girona
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

35%
28%
37%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 3.3

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 255:00 PM
Angers vs Paris Saint Germain
★★★☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

90%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 5.1

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 256:45 PM
Hellas Verona vs Lecce
★★☆☆☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

25%
27%
47%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 2.3

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 257:00 PM
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

81%
10%
Model pick:HOME·xG 6.3

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sat, Apr 257:05 PM
Toulouse vs Monaco
★★★☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

21%
15%
64%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 4.7

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 2610:30 AM
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
★★☆☆☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

52%
24%
25%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.8

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 2612:00 PM
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

54%
20%
26%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.4

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 261:00 PM
Genoa vs Como
★★★☆☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

28%
25%
48%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 3.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 261:00 PM
Lorient vs Strasbourg
★★★☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

61%
24%
15%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.3

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 261:30 PM
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

83%
Model pick:HOME·xG 7.0

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 262:15 PM
Oviedo vs Elche
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

49%
22%
28%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.1

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 263:15 PM
Le Havre vs Metz
★★★☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

71%
21%
Model pick:HOME·xG 2.8

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 263:15 PM
Paris FC vs Lille
★★★☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

13%
23%
63%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 3.1

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 263:15 PM
Rennes vs Nantes
★★★☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

72%
19%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 263:30 PM
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg
★★★☆☆

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

79%
12%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 264:00 PM
Torino vs Inter
★★★☆☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

20%
20%
60%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 4.0

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 264:30 PM
Osasuna vs Sevilla
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

69%
17%
14%
Model pick:HOME·xG 3.9

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 266:45 PM
AC Milan vs Juventus
★★★☆☆

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

36%
18%
46%
Model pick:AWAY·xG 4.0

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 266:45 PM
Marseille vs Nice
★★☆☆☆

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

57%
22%
21%
Model pick:HOME·xG 4.1

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Sun, Apr 267:00 PM
Villarreal vs Celta Vigo
★★★☆☆

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

44%
19%
36%
Model pick:HOME·xG 5.4

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Analytical forecasts only. Our probabilities are calibrated estimates, not guarantees. The model misses genuine upsets by design — see the track record for full transparency.

SoccerPortalX does not provide betting advice. How you use this analysis is entirely up to you and subject to local laws regarding football analytics and probability services.