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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Marseille crestMarseillevsNice crestNice

Kickoff: Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET · Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 2 out of 5 confidence

Home

Marseille

57%

Draw

Draw

22%

Away

Nice

21%

Model pick: Marseille

Expected goals: 2.5—1.6(total 4.1)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?57%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✗ MissFinal score · graded Apr 27

Marseille

1

FT

Nice

1

Model picked (T−24h)

Marseille (57%)

Actually happened

Draw (22%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:31:21.365Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

35e046a2c2f5fa5189ac71839c86ac99395c983323ea0fcbcfbcf3f9cf9791b3
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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