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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia DortmundvsSC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

Kickoff: Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Borussia Dortmund

79%

Draw

Draw

12%

Away

SC Freiburg

9%

Model pick: Borussia Dortmund

Expected goals: 3.6—1.3(total 4.9)
Upset risk: 5/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?79%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 27

Borussia Dortmund

4

FT

SC Freiburg

0

Model picked (T−24h)

Borussia Dortmund (79%)

Actually happened

Borussia Dortmund (79%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:30:23.905Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

9fe6276c92e6fff4e5e3612c51909fcdeaf48fc39e4d6b87880730c36677f6a1
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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