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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

1. FC Köln crest1. FC KölnvsBayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

Kickoff: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

1. FC Köln

26%

Draw

Draw

17%

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

57%

Model pick: Bayer Leverkusen

Expected goals: 2.53.4(total 5.9)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?26%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 26

1. FC Köln

1

FT

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Model picked (T−24h)

Bayer Leverkusen (57%)

Actually happened

Bayer Leverkusen (57%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:28:44.870Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

5a1b88aa0b4605d3657a45483b944d5a6de9e4b02435dc7d26cc5e37d1d0f5ab
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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