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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05vsBayern München crestBayern München

Kickoff: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET · Mewa Arena, Mainz

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

FSV Mainz 05

14%

Draw

Draw

16%

Away

Bayern München

71%

Model pick: Bayern München

Expected goals: 1.53.3(total 4.8)
Upset risk: 3/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?14%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 26

FSV Mainz 05

3

FT

Bayern München

4

Model picked (T−24h)

Bayern München (71%)

Actually happened

Bayern München (71%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:28:51.195Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

0aa43c7289aa308d699e31e98641b958a16c2033b788db447edebe4732856446
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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