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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigvsUnion Berlin crestUnion Berlin

Kickoff: Friday, April 24, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

RB Leipzig

91%

Draw

Draw

7%

Away

Union Berlin

2%

Model pick: RB Leipzig

Expected goals: 4.2—0.9(total 5.1)
Upset risk: 4/10

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?91%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 26

RB Leipzig

3

FT

Union Berlin

1

Model picked (T−24h)

RB Leipzig (91%)

Actually happened

RB Leipzig (91%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:28:11.056Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

844383578bb9b97789d588b6b3bb1f9cfa4a3cb14738b66bb9a8b1ac6370ca8e
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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