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La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Alaves crestAlavesvsMallorca crestMallorca

Kickoff: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET · Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Alaves

68%

Draw

Draw

17%

Away

Mallorca

16%

Model pick: Alaves

Expected goals: 3.21.7(total 4.9)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?68%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 26

Alaves

2

FT

Mallorca

1

Model picked (T−24h)

Alaves (68%)

Actually happened

Alaves (68%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:28:31.280Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

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✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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