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La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsAthletic Club crestAthletic Club

Kickoff: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET · Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Atletico Madrid

81%

Draw

Draw

10%

Away

Athletic Club

9%

Model pick: Atletico Madrid

Expected goals: 4.41.9(total 6.3)
Upset risk: 5/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?81%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 26

Atletico Madrid

3

FT

Athletic Club

2

Model picked (T−24h)

Atletico Madrid (81%)

Actually happened

Atletico Madrid (81%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:29:35.401Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

b188812fd3d9308cec86fa515d144deb35df432590bb9c44fea2e22520a809a1
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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