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La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

Kickoff: Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Rayo Vallecano

54%

Draw

Draw

20%

Away

Real Sociedad

26%

Model pick: Rayo Vallecano

Expected goals: 2.01.4(total 3.4)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?54%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✗ MissFinal score · graded Apr 26

Rayo Vallecano

3

FT

Real Sociedad

3

Model picked (T−24h)

Rayo Vallecano (54%)

Actually happened

Draw (20%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:29:46.716Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

2dc4a2801af2fd675f350ba336a9b31f4ba3797bb7276496db6f6f52ae314639
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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