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La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Valencia crestValenciavsGirona crestGirona

Kickoff: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Valencia

35%

Draw

Draw

28%

Away

Girona

37%

Lean: Girona · close call (2pp margin)

Expected goals: 1.61.7(total 3.3)
Upset risk: 5/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?35%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✗ MissFinal score · graded Apr 26

Valencia

2

FT

Girona

1

Model picked (T−24h)

Girona (37%)

Actually happened

Valencia (35%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:29:24.916Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

2955c6166352bceaf4e1fa3d2babe52491429447bcd61a7b3b96cc8de939c807
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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