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La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Villarreal crestVillarrealvsCelta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

Kickoff: Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET · Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Villarreal

44%

Draw

Draw

19%

Away

Celta Vigo

36%

Lean: Villarreal

Expected goals: 2.8—2.6(total 5.4)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?44%??T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.

✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 27

Villarreal

2

FT

Celta Vigo

1

Model picked (T−24h)

Villarreal (44%)

Actually happened

Villarreal (44%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-04-24T19:31:24.751Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

edfd15d4297742294ab08e2131976f92e4052003b87d1286a03684ae2df96ca4
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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