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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 10
Chicago Firevs
Sporting Kansas City
Kickoff: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET · Soldier Field, Chicago
Outcome Probabilities
Confidence 3 out of 5 confidenceHome
Chicago Fire
82%
Draw
Draw
13%
Away
Sporting Kansas City
6%
Model pick: Chicago Fire
Expected goals: 3.9—0.7(total 4.6)
Upset risk: 4/10
Prediction Evolution
How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives
HomeDrawAway
Only T−24h was snapshotted for this match — the multi-stage lifecycle wasn't active when this prediction was generated.
✓ HitFinal score · graded Apr 26
Chicago Fire
5
FT
Sporting Kansas City
0
Model picked
Chicago Fire (82%)
Actually happened
Chicago Fire (82%)
Integrity Lock
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