Skip to main content
← All predictions

Friendlies · Friendly International

Hungary crestHungaryvsFinland crestFinland

Kickoff: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET · Puskas Arena, Budapest

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Hungary

95%

Draw

Draw

4%

Away

Finland

1%

Model pick: Hungary

Expected goals: 3.0—0.6(total 3.6)
Upset risk: 5/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%56%56%56%95%T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Home win moved from 56% (T−48h) to 95% (Half-time) ↑ 39pp

✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 5

Hungary

2

FT

Finland

1

Model picked (T−24h)

Hungary (95%)

Actually happened

Hungary (95%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-03T06:00:57.614Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

4761ff474393975a4fdf22da1dc49b785cfaf372a0b488e6465036491f64c481
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Verify yourself via the API.

How the model works →