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Friendlies · Friendly International

Georgia crestGeorgiavsBahrain crestBahrain

Kickoff: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Georgia

52%

Draw

Draw

29%

Away

Bahrain

18%

Model pick: Georgia

Expected goals: 1.3—0.6(total 1.9)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%57%57%57%52%T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Home win moved from 57% (T−48h) to 52% (Half-time) ↓ 5pp

✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 5

Georgia

2

FT

Bahrain

0

Model picked (T−24h)

Georgia (52%)

Actually happened

Georgia (52%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-03T06:00:28.060Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

344f26dd547f6533174d67ea4438a4cab208cbee222f8c80b059fc58333923a2
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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How the model works →