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Friendlies · Friendly International

Russia crestRussiavsBurkina Faso crestBurkina Faso

Kickoff: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET · Volgograd Arena, Volgograd

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Russia

92%

Draw

Draw

6%

Away

Burkina Faso

2%

Model pick: Russia

Expected goals: 2.8—0.7(total 3.4)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%42%42%42%92%T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Home win moved from 42% (T−48h) to 92% (Half-time) ↑ 50pp

✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 5

Russia

3

FT

Burkina Faso

0

Model picked (T−24h)

Russia (92%)

Actually happened

Russia (92%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-03T06:00:50.309Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

00e2acbb5107a4b8c78f568ce7112288a67aeaae7e6fb5f7a01dab4356ce212d
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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