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Friendlies · Friendly International

Tajikistan crestTajikistanvsIndia crestIndia

Kickoff: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET · Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Tajikistan

81%

Draw

Draw

15%

Away

India

5%

Model pick: Tajikistan

Expected goals: 2.10.6(total 2.6)
Upset risk: 5/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%56%56%58%81%T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Home win moved from 56% (T−48h) to 81% (Half-time) 25pp

✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 5

Tajikistan

3

FT

India

1

Model picked (T−24h)

Tajikistan (81%)

Actually happened

Tajikistan (81%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

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