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Friendlies · Friendly International

Russia U21 crestRussia U21vsIraq U23 crestIraq U23

Kickoff: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Russia U21

76%

Draw

Draw

17%

Away

Iraq U23

7%

Model pick: Russia U21

Expected goals: 2.0—0.7(total 2.7)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Prediction Evolution

How the model's confidence changes as new info arrives

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%?51%51%76%T−48hT−24hPre-matchHalf-time

Home win moved from 51% (T−24h) to 76% (Half-time) ↑ 25pp · earlier-stage snapshots not logged for this fixture

✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 5

Russia U21

5

FT

Iraq U23

1

Model picked (T−24h)

Russia U21 (76%)

Actually happened

Russia U21 (76%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Integrity Lock

This prediction's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-04T13:00:20.122Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

60362f22606898d18fba2ebb5bd1261c0b35d0761a82b1ffe9a1b2e8f0c7737c
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

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