Skip to main content

SPX Quant Engine

AI Soccer Analytics Reports. SHA256-verified.

Match analysis reports generated by the SPX AI Quant Engine — trained on 1,587,819 matches across 1232 competitions and 34 years of football. Every report cryptographically locked before kickoff and independently auditable.

🎉 Free launch — every forecast free through June 18, 2026

All 1232leagues, every pre-kickoff stage and the live half-time & 75' refresh — free for everyone, just create a free account. No card, no payment. And the Engine keeps sharpening: every retrain tightens calibration as more World Cup data lands.

Live · updated daily·+978 graded this week·data current to Jun 17, 2026

Free forever · no card · no payment

Get your free SPX account

Full historical archive, SHA256 audit log, daily SPX Quiz and the weekly AI analytics newsletter. Set a password and you're in.

or

Signing up with Google also requires agreeing to the terms above.

Free forever — no card, no payment. Already have an account? Sign in.

Already have an account? Log in →
WC-2026 Special · One-time payment

World Cup 2026 Tournament Pass — $39 USD flat

Full Premium access for the entire tournament window (Jun 11 – Jul 19, 2026). No recurring billing, no auto-renew. Every group match, every knockout fixture: live HT/75' refresh, SPX xG, Monte Carlo bracket re-sim after each match, priority push.

For non-subscribers only — if you're already on Premium, the WC is already included in your normal subscription.

Notify me at launch

Planned pricing

Shown for transparency. Nothing is purchasable yet — join the early-access list above and we'll open these at launch.

All prices in US Dollars (USD) · taxes added at checkout where applicable

Free

$0

Forever free with signup — verify our track record before you pay

  • Full historical analytics archive (1,587,819 graded matches)
  • SHA256 audit log — verify any past report was locked pre-kickoff
  • Brier score, accuracy %, calibration plots (aggregate)
  • Personal accuracy dashboard + hash verification tool
  • Daily SPX Quiz (1 of 5 Arena games)
  • Read-only Fantasy view + Gameweek Dream Team
  • Full editorial blog access + weekly newsletter

Ready for live analytics? Premium ($39.99/mo) unlocks SPX Quant Analytics reports on every match — every league, every fixture, every stage from 48h to full-time. See Premium →

Free forever · no card · no payment

Get your free SPX account

Full historical archive, SHA256 audit log, daily SPX Quiz and the weekly AI analytics newsletter. Set a password and you're in.

or

Signing up with Google also requires agreeing to the terms above.

Free forever — no card, no payment. Already have an account? Sign in.

Most powerful

Premium

$39.99 USD / mo

or $349 USD / year (save $131)

  • SPX Quant Analytics report on every fixture — all 1232 leagues, the full progressive refresh ladder:
  • 48h locked pre-kickoff snapshot
  • T-24h refresh (sharper than the 48h snapshot)
  • T-2h pre-lineup read
  • Lineup-confirmed report (~T-1h) — biggest pre-kickoff edge moment
  • Live half-time report refresh
  • 75-minute Markov posterior projection
  • Monte Carlo bracket re-sim after every WC match
  • SPX xG overlay on every match (proprietary)
  • Per-league reliability diagrams (all 1232 leagues)
  • Scenario simulator on Top-5 league futures
  • Private friends leagues in Arena
  • Track-record CSV export (per-league + per-month aggregate)
  • Drift alerts — email + push on recalibration
  • Tactical deep-dive metrics on every match
  • Player percentile + verdict for every player
  • Fantasy AI optimizer + captain picker + transfer suggester
  • Priority push notifications (≤60s SLA)
  • EV calculator, bankroll tools, P&L tracker
  • Ad-free
  • Plus everything Free includes — archive, match facts, Arena play & transparency

Premium tier · founding-member pricing

Notify me when Premium opens

Premium isn't live yet and no payment is taken. Leave your email and we'll notify you the moment subscriptions open, with founding-member pricing locked in.

You'll receive: General newsletter + product updates + early-access list. No card required · unsubscribe anytime.

Planned terms at launch: all prices in US Dollars (USD); local taxes added at checkout where applicable. Cancel anytime. Annual plans carry a 30-day money-back guarantee. The $39 USD WC-2026 Tournament Pass is a one-time payment with no auto-renew; access expires Jul 19, 2026. None of this is active yet — no payment is taken and the full site is currently open.

Feature breakdown by tier

Free during pre-launch; tier gates activate at launch.

Free — Archive, Facts & Arena

  • Full settled-report archive (1,587,819 graded matches)
  • SHA256 audit log + aggregate accuracy, Brier & calibration plots
  • Match facts: lineups, weather, venue, base xG, referee
  • Player profiles: full layout with H2H, percentile, form
  • All 5 Quant Arena games + full Fantasy play (no Engine reveal)
  • Editorial blog + podcast + weekly newsletter

Premium — SPX Quant Analytics Product

  • Pre-kickoff probability reports on every fixture — all 1232 leagues
  • The full refresh ladder: 48h → 24h → pre-lineup → lineup-confirmed
  • 7-day forward forecast horizon + the recommended Engine call
  • WC-2026 bracket Monte Carlo + Top-5 league futures
  • Engine reveal in all 5 Quant Arena games

Premium — Live Layer + Edge Analytics

  • Lineup-confirmed report refresh — fires the moment lineups confirm (~T-1h), the biggest pre-kickoff information shock
  • Live half-time report update (within 2 min of HT whistle)
  • 75-minute late-match Markov posterior projection
  • Monte Carlo bracket re-sim on every WC result
  • SPX xG overlay on every match (proprietary shot-based xG)
  • Per-league calibration plots + reliability diagrams (all 208)
  • Drift alerts — model recalibration / league flag notifications
  • Tactical deep-dive metrics on every match
  • Player percentile + verdict for every player (not just curated)

Premium — Fantasy AI Tools

  • AI captain picker — pre-gameweek probability-weighted recommendation
  • Transfer optimizer — best swaps under your budget + transfer count
  • Projected points per player per gameweek (model-driven)
  • Opponent win-% and value advisor on every player

Premium — Decision-Support Tools

  • Expected Value calculator (model probability vs market)
  • Bankroll allocation + Kelly criterion calculator
  • Personal P&L tracker
  • Conviction alerts — pinged when model crosses thresholds
  • Custom report filters by league, market, confidence
  • Track-record CSV export — per-league + per-month + per-market aggregates
  • Priority push notifications (≤60s SLA)
  • Ad-free experience

The SPX AI Quant Engine — by the numbers

1,587,819

matches trained on

1232

competitions covered

34

years of football data

53.1%

all-match baseline accuracy (+19.8pp vs random)

69.4%

high-conviction report accuracy (+36.1pp vs random)

0.58

Brier score (vs 0.667 uniform)

0

log-loss (vs 1.099 uniform)

SHA256

every report locked before kickoff

Every figure is computed from the SHA256-locked report archive — independently auditable.

How we're different

DimensionSPX AI AnalyticsTipster ServicesBookmakers
ProductAI-generated analytical reportsHuman “tips” via DMOdds for wagering
VerificationSHA256-locked before kickoffNone — screenshots onlyN/A
Audit trailPublic, permanent, completeHidden, selectiveN/A
Accuracy metricBrier score + hit rateHit rate only (cherry-picked)N/A
MethodologyPublished academic foundations“Trust the experts”Proprietary
Accuracy claim53.1% all / 69.4% high-conviction“85-91%” (unverifiable)N/A
Data scale1,587,819 matches, 1232 competitionsUnknownProprietary
Refund policy30-day on annualNoneN/A

Frequently asked

Is paid access live yet?+

No — and right now it's all free through June 18, 2026: create a free account and you get every forecast, every league, every refresh stage, no card and no payment. The ladder shown above is the planned framework for afterwards. Join the early-access list and we'll email you the moment subscriptions open, with founding-member pricing locked in.

What do I get with a free account?+

Free is the trust funnel — verify what we've published before you pay. You get:

  • Full historical archive 1587K+ graded matches with the locked analytics report and the actual result
  • SHA256 audit log independently verify any past analytics report was locked before kickoff
  • Aggregate accuracy Brier score, hit rate and calibration plots from the locked archive
  • Daily SPX Quiz one Arena game per day, free to play
  • Fantasy (view-only) browse squads and the Gameweek Dream Team
  • Editorial blogs full access to every article, plus the weekly analytics newsletter

Free does NOT include any upcoming or pre-match analytics reports — those are Premium ($39.99/mo).

What's the difference between Free and Premium?+

Free proves the track record; Premium is where you see the future. Free shows zero forward probability — Premium unlocks every forward stage plus edge analytics:

  • Free the full settled archive + SHA256 audit · aggregate accuracy & calibration · match facts (lineups, weather, venue, base xG, referee) · player profiles · all 5 Arena games + full Fantasy play (no Engine reveal) · editorial & newsletter
  • Premium ($39.99/mo) — the forecast SPX Quant Analytics report on every fixture across all 1232 leagues, with the full refresh ladder: 48h → T-24h → T-2h pre-lineup → lineup-confirmed (~T-1h) → half-time → 75-minute — in the main product AND in Arena
  • Premium also adds edge analytics proprietary SPX xG overlay · per-league reliability diagrams · drift alerts · tactical deep-dive metrics
  • Premium adds Fantasy AI tools captain picker · transfer optimizer · projected points · opponent win-%
  • Premium adds decision-support tools EV calculator · bankroll calculator · P&L tracker · priority push notifications · ad-free browsing
What's the WC-2026 Tournament Pass?+

A $39 flat one-time payment that grants full Premium access for the entire World Cup window (Jun 11 – Jul 19, 2026). No recurring billing, no auto-renew, no card stored after the payment.

  • Who it's for fans who aren't already subscribed and only want premium analytics during the tournament
  • Premium subscribers you already have everything — the pass card won't appear on your pricing page
  • After Jul 19 access auto-drops to free at the period boundary; no charge, no renewal prompt
Does Premium include the SPX Arena games?+

Arena is free to PLAY for everyone; Premium adds the Engine's edge.

  • Free play every Arena game (vote in polls, submit picks, build Fantasy squads, predict tables) — no Engine reveal
  • Premium all 5 Arena games (Beat the Engine, SPX Quiz, SPX Daily, SPX XI, SPX Table) WITH the Engine reveal at every stage, plus Fantasy AI tools (captain picker, transfer optimizer, opponent win-% and value advisor)
How is this different from a tipster service?+

Three fundamental ways:

  • It's the Engine, not a human every SPX Quant Analytics report is generated by the Engine — trained on 1,587,819 graded matches — never a human tip or "expert pick"
  • Cryptographic lock before kickoff every report is SHA256-locked before the match starts, so we can't quietly rewrite history if a call goes wrong; the lock is publicly auditable
  • Calibration metrics on every report, win or lose we publish Brier score (0.58) alongside hit rate — the calibration metrics quants actually use. Tipsters publish hit rate cherry-picked from their wins; we publish both metrics on every fixture
Can I use these reports for betting?+

SPX analytics reports are informational products containing probability assessments and analytical commentary. How subscribers use the information is their own decision. SPX does not facilitate, encourage, or accept wagers of any kind. Reports are provided for informational and entertainment purposes.

SPX analytics reports are statistical outputs of the SPX Quant Engine, provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not financial advice, betting tips, or a recommendation to wager. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy. SPX does not facilitate or accept wagers of any kind.

See also Track Record, Methodology and the SHA256 audit log.