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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #135764

World Cup·
Croatia crest
CroatiaHOME
1:1
Match Finished
HT 1-1
Denmark crest
DenmarkAWAY
Sun, Jul 1 · 18:00 UTCStadion Nizhny Novgorod25°CRefereeN. PitanaSPX: CroatiaHit
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Penalty Shootout — Completed

Croatia crestCroatia100%
0%DenmarkDenmark crest
Decided on penalties · final result
Penalty Shootout
Croatia wins!!!
3 - 2
CroatiaCroatiaDenmarkDenmark
M. Badelj
Miss (0 - 0)
C. Eriksen
Miss (0 - 0)
A. Kramaric
Goal (1 - 1)
S. Kjær
Goal (0 - 1)
L. Modric
Goal (2 - 2)
Kicker 3
Goal (1 - 2)
J. Pivarić
Miss (2 - 2)
L. Schöne
Miss (2 - 2)
I. Rakitić
Goal (3 - 2)
N. Jørgensen
Miss (2 - 2)
Denmark first to kick

Player Performance

final match ratings

Croatia

Luka Modrić
8.0
Ivan Rakitić
Ivan Rakitić

M · 120'

7.9
Ante Rebić
Ante Rebić

M · 120'

7.7

Denmark

Kasper Schmeichel
Kasper Schmeichel

G · 120'

🧤 5
8.5
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney

M · 98'

🎯 1
7.3
Henrik Dalsgaard
7.2

Official per-player match ratings from post-match data — descriptive, not a model output.

◆ Similar Matches

historical record

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Croatia

4-1-4-1
  1. D. SubašićG
  2. Š. VrsaljkoD
  3. D. LovrenD
  4. I. StrinićD
  5. D. VidaD
  6. L. ModricM
  7. M. MandžukićF
  8. M. BrozovićM
  9. I. PerisicM
  10. I. RakitićM
  11. A. RebicM

Denmark

4-4-1-1
  1. K. SchmeichelG
  2. J. KnudsenD
  3. H. DalsgaardD
  4. M. JørgensenD
  5. S. KjærD
  6. M. BraithwaiteM
  7. C. EriksenF
  8. T. DelaneyM
  9. A. ChristensenM
  10. Y. PoulsenM
  11. A. CorneliusF

Croatia named a notably stronger XI than its recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

8930300f9d1b03f1909ab2374ed0e8a62bc19c3cea8cc7b5ce2420c349b690c5
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.56 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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