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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1397288

Primera División Femenina·
Athletic Club W crest
Athletic Club WHOME
4:1
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Alhama W crest
Alhama WAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 14:00 UTCInstalaciones de Lezama Campo 221°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

Athletic Club W

79%

Draw

Draw

14%

Away

Alhama W

8%

Model call: Athletic Club W

Expected goals: 1.7—0.4(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 2/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Athletic Club W

4

FT

Alhama W

1

Model called (T−24h)

Athletic Club W (78%)

Actually happened

Athletic Club W (78%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Athletic Club W

  1. Player 144850
  2. Player 99758
  3. Player 99725
  4. Player 88384
  5. Player 556869
  6. Player 552768
  7. Player 556874
  8. Player 472602
  9. Player 317428
  10. Player 309543
  11. Player 426544

Alhama W

  1. Player 99924
  2. Player 556859
  3. Player 556848
  4. Player 556798
  5. Player 556838
  6. Player 556792
  7. Player 556840
  8. Player 556796
  9. Player 556794
  10. Player 556839
  11. Player 99684

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

fd55052ce6159b7aec51dcbcf7851a24905b8bf692631bcb42724f47af1c772f
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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