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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1397293

Primera División Femenina·
Madrid CFF W crest
Madrid CFF WHOME
0:4
Match Finished
HT 0-2
Barcelona W crest
Barcelona WAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 14:00 UTCEstadio Fernando Torres34°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

Madrid CFF W

7%

Draw

Draw

12%

Away

Barcelona W

81%

Model call: Barcelona W

Expected goals: 0.3—1.6(total 1.9)
Upset risk: 1/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Madrid CFF W

0

FT

Barcelona W

4

Model called (T−24h)

Barcelona W (82%)

Actually happened

Barcelona W (82%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Madrid CFF W

  1. Player 99902
  2. Player 659175
  3. Player 99833
  4. Player 68735
  5. Player 144855
  6. Player 289612
  7. Player 224714
  8. Player 213011
  9. Player 316328
  10. Player 99798
  11. Player 99772

Barcelona W

  1. Player 371987
  2. Player 553371
  3. Player 615305
  4. Player 630892
  5. Player 281114
  6. Player 74276
  7. Player 74281
  8. Player 290321
  9. Player 68553
  10. Player 88223
  11. Player 353132

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

12a4cb39bb502f1c592f3337e719cc8e4071189b224458957249f7cd4b5bd3d2
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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