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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1397295

Primera División Femenina·
Real Sociedad W crest
Real Sociedad WHOME
2:0
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Atletico Madrid W crest
Atletico Madrid WAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 10:00 UTCCampo José Luis Orbegozo20°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Real Sociedad W

54%

Draw

Draw

26%

Away

Atletico Madrid W

19%

Model call: Real Sociedad W

Expected goals: 1.4—0.7(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Real Sociedad W

2

FT

Atletico Madrid W

0

Model called (T−24h)

Real Sociedad W (54%)

Actually happened

Real Sociedad W (54%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Real Sociedad W

  1. Player 556894
  2. Player 68694
  3. Player 552755
  4. Player 552643
  5. Player 556811
  6. Player 99965
  7. Player 99852
  8. Player 299406
  9. Player 87385
  10. Player 337997
  11. Player 154931

Atletico Madrid W

  1. Player 74278
  2. Player 273234
  3. Player 99667
  4. Player 196334
  5. Player 359194
  6. Player 282656
  7. Player 68551
  8. Player 556918
  9. Player 556902
  10. Player 291274
  11. Player 99919

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Real Sociedad W
0stars missing
Atletico Madrid W
0stars missing

Real Sociedad W · key absences

No notable absences reported

Atletico Madrid W · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
7.7expected corners
Home 3.8Away 3.9
Over 9.5 corners24%
Over 10.5 corners15%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
4.3expected cards
Average ref
Home 1.9Away 2.3
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards26%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

298fbb8094c7b23f7655c522f91dfa87b487d3111294c86afa7448dbaf1dffb8
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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