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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1425144

Oberliga - Mittelrhein·
Fortuna Köln II crest
Fortuna Köln IIHOME
6:1
Match Finished
HT 1-0
SF Düren crest
SF DürenAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 13:30 UTCKunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark25°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

Fortuna Köln II

65%

Draw

Draw

17%

Away

SF Düren

18%

Model call: Fortuna Köln II

Expected goals: 1.50.6(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 3/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Fortuna Köln II

6

FT

SF Düren

1

Model called (T−24h)

Fortuna Köln II (65%)

Actually happened

Fortuna Köln II (65%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

18dceec66b314c86742a5f1c5c296feb9603e775d571d8a0e44e7690726edd31
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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