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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1489402

World Cup·Group Stage - 2
England crest
EnglandHOME
0:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Ghana crest
GhanaAWAY
Tue, Jun 23 · 20:00 UTCGillette Stadium, Boston21°CRefereeSaid Martinez, Honduras

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AI Match Report · Engine Read

48 hours out the Engine leaned England (72%) in a close call. It finished 0-0, a draw — a miss on a fixture the model itself read as far from settled.

What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was England, so this match is a miss in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

England

4-2-3-1
  1. J. PickfordG
  2. D. SpenceD
  3. M. GuehiD
  4. E. KonsaD
  5. R. JamesD
  6. D. RiceM
  7. E. AndersonM
  8. A. GordonM
  9. J. BellinghamM
  10. N. MaduekeM
  11. H. KaneF

Ghana

4-1-4-1
  1. Benjamin AsareG
  2. G. MensahD
  3. J. OpokuD
  4. J. AdjeteyD
  5. M. SenayaD
  6. T. ParteyM
  7. A. SemenyoM
  8. K. SiboM
  9. C. YirenkyiM
  10. I. WilliamsM
  11. J. AyewF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-20T17:14:28.273Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

ebaebd0c152948d3770c83620f17ee38db5aba6791abc367089334393e2d476b
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.