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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1489404

Portugal vs Uzbekistan — Match Report & Forecast Archive

World Cup·Group Stage - 2
Portugal crest
PortugalHOME
5:0
Match Finished
HT 3-0
Uzbekistan crest
UzbekistanAWAY
Tue, Jun 23 · 17:00 UTCNRG Stadium, Houston33°CRefereeJalal Jayed, MoroccoSPX: PortugalHit
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The match facts on this page are public. The forecast archive behind this report — outcome probabilities, the stage-by-stage evolution and the graded detail — is free once you sign in.

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AI Match Report · Engine Read

48 hours out the Engine favored Portugal (66%), and the live read grew to 100% by the 75-minute checkpoint as the match bore it out. Final: 5-0, a Portugal win.

What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was Portugal, so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

Player Performance

final match ratings

Portugal

Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes

D · 90'

⚽ 1
8.9
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes

M · 90'

🎯 1
8.6
Cristiano Ronaldo
8.3

Uzbekistan

Official per-player match ratings from post-match data — descriptive, not a model output.

◆ Similar Matches

historical record

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Portugal

4-2-3-1
  1. D. CostaG
  2. N. MendesD
  3. R. VeigaD
  4. R. DiasD
  5. J. CanceloD
  6. VitinhaM
  7. J. NevesM
  8. Joao FelixM
  9. B. FernandesM
  10. P. NetoM
  11. C. RonaldoF

Uzbekistan

3-4-2-1
  1. Abduvokhid NematovG
  2. Rustam AshurmatovD
  3. Abdulla AbdullaevD
  4. Abdukodir KhusanovD
  5. Sherzod NasrullaevM
  6. Otabek ShukurovM
  7. Odiljon KhamrobekovM
  8. Bekhruz KarimovM
  9. Abbosbek FayzullaevF
  10. Azizjon GanievF
  11. Eldor ShomurodovF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-20T17:14:18.999Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

79c47327163d64cdbd39cd16ef59f7056d09eb3706234f90de6ab864da084be9
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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