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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1489407

World Cup·Group Stage - 3
South Africa crest
South AfricaHOME
1:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
South Korea crest
South KoreaAWAY
Thu, Jun 25 · 01:00 UTCEstadio BBVA, Monterrey31°CRefereeFacundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina

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AI Match Report · Engine Read

48 hours out the Engine favored South Africa (39%), and the live read grew to 95% by the 75-minute checkpoint as the match bore it out. Final: 1-0, a South Africa win.

What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was South Africa (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

South Africa

4-2-3-1
  1. R. WilliamsG
  2. A. ModibaD
  3. M. MbokaziD
  4. I. OkonD
  5. K. MudauD
  6. Y. SitholeM
  7. T. MbathaM
  8. O. AppollisM
  9. R. MofokengM
  10. T. MasekoM
  11. E. MakgopaF

South Korea

3-4-2-1
  1. Kim Seung-GyuG
  2. Lee Gi-HyukD
  3. Min-jae KimD
  4. Lee Han-BeomD
  5. Lee Tae-SukM
  6. Hwang In-BeomM
  7. Paik Seung-HoM
  8. Seol Yung-WooM
  9. Hwang Hee-ChanF
  10. Lee Kang-InF
  11. Oh Hyeon-GyuF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-20T17:15:22.863Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

288d6c650c41c3dda0efe3f5d1a606cc086bdd636b4b3bc876c7fd8ee2fc6024
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.