SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1489407


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AI Match Report · Engine Read
48 hours out the Engine favored South Africa (39%), and the live read grew to 95% by the 75-minute checkpoint as the match bore it out. Final: 1-0, a South Africa win.
What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was South Africa (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
South Africa
4-2-3-1R. WilliamsG
A. ModibaD
M. MbokaziD
I. OkonD
K. MudauD
Y. SitholeM
T. MbathaM
O. AppollisM
R. MofokengM
T. MasekoM
E. MakgopaF
South Korea
3-4-2-1Kim Seung-GyuG
Lee Gi-HyukD
Min-jae KimD
Lee Han-BeomD
Lee Tae-SukM
Hwang In-BeomM
Paik Seung-HoM
Seol Yung-WooM
Hwang Hee-ChanF
Lee Kang-InF
Oh Hyeon-GyuF
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.
Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-20T17:15:22.863Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.