SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1489420
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AI Match Report · Engine Read
48 hours out the Engine favored Croatia (72%), and the live read grew to 94% by the 75-minute checkpoint as the match bore it out. Final: 2-1, a Croatia win.
What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was Croatia, so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Croatia
4-2-3-1D. LivakovicG
I. PerisicD
M. PongracicD
J. SutaloD
J. StanisicD
M. KovacicM
L. ModricM
M. BaturinaM
P. SucicM
N. VlasicM
A. BudimirF
Ghana
4-3-3Benjamin AsareG
G. MensahD
D. LuckassenD
J. AdjeteyD
M. SenayaD
K. SiboM
E. OwusuM
T. ParteyM
A. SemenyoF
J. AyewF
K. SulemanaF
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.
Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-20T17:17:11.304Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.