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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1489583

3. liga - CFL B·
Jablonec II crest
Jablonec IIHOME
1:1
Match Finished
HT 0-1
Ústí nad Orlicí crest
Ústí nad OrlicíAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 08:15 UTCFotbalovy stadion Brizky19°C◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 4 out of 5 confidence

Home

Jablonec II

57%

Draw

Draw

20%

Away

Ústí nad Orlicí

22%

Model call: Jablonec II

Expected goals: 1.4—0.7(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Jablonec II

1

FT

Ústí nad Orlicí

1

Model called (T−24h)

Jablonec II (57%)

Actually happened

Draw (21%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Jablonec II

  1. Player 552209
  2. Player 552106
  3. Player 552125
  4. Player 552076
  5. Player 552105
  6. Player 552217
  7. Player 552165
  8. Player 552124
  9. Player 552057
  10. Player 552056
  11. Player 552103

Ústí nad Orlicí

  1. Player 552179
  2. Player 552087
  3. Player 552163
  4. Player 552180
  5. Player 552033
  6. Player 551940
  7. Player 552158
  8. Player 551948
  9. Player 552094
  10. Player 551949
  11. Player 624723

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

c362ff34f0be7f2dd973acc7944fb1d9830c7be1adbff3391ddd366d842ca5aa
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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