SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1493571
◆ SPX Quant Forecast
Sign in to read the full archive
The full settled-report archive, SHA256 verification, match facts, the Quant Arena and your personal accuracy dashboard are free — just create an account.
Create a free account — unlock the full settled forecast archive: the stage-by-stage probability path, score distribution and graded record for every finished match.
AI Match Report · Engine Read
Pre-kickoff the Engine made this close. As Orange County SC took control the live read climbed to 90% by the 75-minute checkpoint. Then Hartford Athletic struck in the 85th minute — after the final live checkpoint — and it finished 2-2. The chart shows exactly when it turned.
What we grade: only the forecast we SHA256-stamped before kickoff — the number on the public record. That was Hartford Athletic (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a miss in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.
On that 90%: across matches where the Engine has read ~90%+, the favorite goes on to win ≈95% of the time. This was one of the rare late swings that didn't.
◆ Similar Matches
historical recordMatch Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-29T06:08:20.961Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.56 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.