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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1494192

Allsvenskan·
Vasteras SK FK crest
Vasteras SK FKHOME
4:5
Match Finished
HT 2-4
IFK Goteborg crest
IFK GoteborgAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 12:00 UTCHitachi Energy Arena23°CRefereeGranit Maqedonci, Sweden◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

Vasteras SK FK

73%

Draw

Draw

18%

Away

IFK Goteborg

9%

Model call: Vasteras SK FK

Expected goals: 1.6—0.5(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 2/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Vasteras SK FK

4

FT

IFK Goteborg

5

Model called (T−24h)

Vasteras SK FK (71%)

Actually happened

IFK Goteborg (9%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Vasteras SK FK

3-4-3
  1. Player 372339G
  2. V. WernerssonD
  3. Player 413717D
  4. H. MagnussonD
  5. M. BaggesenM
  6. M. DiagneM
  7. Player 552751
  8. S. GefvertM
  9. K. GunnarssonF
  10. M. LadefogedF
  11. J. MagnussonF

IFK Goteborg

4-2-3-1
  1. E. BishesariG
  2. N. TolfD
  3. J. BagerD
  4. R. YeboahD
  5. A. JallowD
  6. D. KruseM
  7. F. OttossonM
  8. B. BrantlindM
  9. T. HeintzM
  10. S. ClemmensenM
  11. A. WibergF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Vasteras SK FK
0stars missing
IFK Goteborg
0stars missing

Vasteras SK FK · key absences

No notable absences reported

IFK Goteborg · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
10.7expected corners
Home 6.0Away 4.8
Over 9.5 corners63%
Over 10.5 corners51%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
3.5expected cards
Average ref
Home 1.6Away 1.9
Over 4.5 cards27%
Over 5.5 cards14%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Each bubble = one player. Size scales with the SPX shot-quality estimate.

Vasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
02460'15'30'45'60'75'90'Minutes playedShots4T. Heintz (M) — 6 shots, 5 on target, 4 goals, est. SPX xG 0.942Player #426674 (M) — 3 shots, 2 on target, 2 goals, est. SPX xG 0.401A. Wiberg (F) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.22H. Magnusson (D) — 2 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.081K. Gunnarsson (F) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.22D. Kruse (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Player #413717 (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04M. Baggesen (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.041M. Ladefoged (F) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.18Jonathan Karlsson (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #571461 (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18J. Ring (F) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Player #344644 (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Pass Network

Pass volume vs completion rate. Bubble size scales with minutes played.

Vasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
0%25%50%75%100%020406080Passes attemptedAccuracyE. Bishesari (G) — 24 passes, 11 completed (46%), 0 keyA. Jallow (D) — 8 passes, 8 completed (100%), 0 keyR. Yeboah (D) — 47 passes, 38 completed (81%), 1 keyJ. Bager (D) — 26 passes, 17 completed (65%), 0 keyN. Tolf (D) — 31 passes, 22 completed (71%), 2 keyF. Ottosson (M) — 28 passes, 22 completed (79%), 2 keyD. Kruse (M) — 38 passes, 34 completed (89%), 1 keyS. Clemmensen (M) — 9 passes, 7 completed (78%), 2 keyT. Heintz (M) — 27 passes, 20 completed (74%), 0 keyB. Brantlind (M) — 10 passes, 7 completed (70%), 0 keyA. Wiberg (F) — 17 passes, 12 completed (71%), 1 keyK. Þórðarson (M) — 38 passes, 29 completed (76%), 0 keyS. Alioum (F) — 6 passes, 3 completed (50%), 0 keyR. Lundqvist (M) — 5 passes, 2 completed (40%), 0 keyI. Jagne (M) — 1 passes, 1 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #372339 (G) — 36 passes, 28 completed (78%), 0 keyH. Magnusson (D) — 75 passes, 65 completed (87%), 1 keyPlayer #413717 (D) — 43 passes, 37 completed (86%), 1 keyV. Wernersson (D) — 41 passes, 30 completed (73%), 0 keyS. Gefvert (M) — 41 passes, 32 completed (78%), 2 keyPlayer #380753 (M) — 25 passes, 22 completed (88%), 1 keyM. Diagne (M) — 50 passes, 41 completed (82%), 1 keyM. Baggesen (M) — 24 passes, 19 completed (79%), 2 keyJ. Magnusson (F) — 26 passes, 22 completed (85%), 1 keyM. Ladefoged (F) — 8 passes, 5 completed (63%), 0 keyK. Gunnarsson (F) — 22 passes, 18 completed (82%), 1 keyPlayer #426674 (M) — 15 passes, 12 completed (80%), 3 keyJonathan Karlsson (D) — 17 passes, 13 completed (76%), 0 keyPlayer #571461 (D) — 6 passes, 5 completed (83%), 0 keyJ. Tagesson (D) — 17 passes, 13 completed (76%), 0 keyJ. Ring (F) — 14 passes, 10 completed (71%), 1 keyPlayer #344644 (M) — 2 passes, 2 completed (100%), 1 key
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

f875c486f8891db5d1ddc7f8eecc36aa7175d67d243e7fd94e7f85e9cefea18d
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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