Malmö FF W
0stars missing
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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495483
3:0
Match Finished
HT 2-0
Sun, May 31 · 13:00 UTCEleda StadionRefereeA. Oberlauf◆ SPX ✓ Hit
◆ SPX Quant Forecast
Outcome Probabilities
Confidence 5 out of 5 confidenceHome
Malmö FF W
88%
Draw
Draw
9%
Away
Växjö W
3%
Model call: Malmö FF W
Expected goals: 1.9—0.3(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 1/10
Probability Evolution
How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle
HomeDrawAway
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✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1
Malmö FF W
3
FT
Växjö W
0
Model called (T−24h)
Malmö FF W (88%)
Actually happened
Malmö FF W (88%)
Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.
Match Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Malmö FF W
Player 69036
Player 534671
Player 213623
Player 299375
Player 76171
Player 534701
Player 224717
Player 298435
Player 212999
Player 534684
Player 413394
Växjö W
Player 265039
Player 534643
Player 556729
Player 229028
Player 298415
Player 453536
Player 534661
Player 534647
Player 388081
Player 228990
Player 335799
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.
Lineup Absence Impact
Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.
Växjö W
0stars missing
Absence impact delta+0.00
Roster impact: roughly even
Malmö FF W · key absences
No notable absences reported
Växjö W · key absences
No notable absences reported
Beyond Match Outcome
Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.
Corners
Expected total9.4expected corners
Home 5.1Away 4.3
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners35%
SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown
Cards
Expected total2.1expected cards
Average ref
Home 0.9Away 1.2
Over 4.5 cards6.3%
Over 5.5 cards2.1%
SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown
Shot Creation Profile
Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.
SPX Quant Engine
Shot Quality
Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Pass Network
Pass network data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
1caa5d88cf21b005fa98af8e466dd8f0a24b3edcfe11a5e488720ff1ad1d0c10
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged
Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.