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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495485

Damallsvenskan·
Rosengård W crest
Rosengård WHOME
1:2
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Brommapojkarna W crest
Brommapojkarna WAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 11:00 UTCMalmo IP17°CRefereeS. Griberg◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 2 out of 5 confidence

Home

Rosengård W

29%

Draw

Draw

28%

Away

Brommapojkarna W

43%

Lean: Brommapojkarna W

Expected goals: 0.9—1.1(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Rosengård W

1

FT

Brommapojkarna W

2

Model called (T−24h)

Brommapojkarna W (44%)

Actually happened

Brommapojkarna W (44%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Rosengård W

  1. Player 224738
  2. Player 308900
  3. Player 213616
  4. Player 557250
  5. Player 341020
  6. Player 531088
  7. Player 531090
  8. Player 315409
  9. Player 467186
  10. Player 229020
  11. Player 76172

Brommapojkarna W

  1. Player 298787
  2. Player 81848
  3. Player 458840
  4. Player 534669
  5. Player 298735
  6. Player 294923
  7. Player 298396
  8. Player 389349
  9. Player 357439
  10. Player 307896
  11. Player 534628

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Rosengård W
0stars missing
Brommapojkarna W
0stars missing

Rosengård W · key absences

No notable absences reported

Brommapojkarna W · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
11.5expected corners
Home 7.4Away 4.1
Over 9.5 corners71%
Over 10.5 corners59%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
1.6expected cards
Average ref
Home 0.7Away 0.9
Over 4.5 cards2.2%
Over 5.5 cards0.6%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

69a69f5415d711559409ca1ae45dd26023f4a0fbf58016f28c1af69bb1435081
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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