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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495696

Veikkausliiga·
AC Oulu crest
AC OuluHOME
2:1
Match Finished
HT 0-0
FF Jaro crest
FF JaroAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 13:00 UTCRaatin stadion13°CRefereePeiman Simani, Finland◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

AC Oulu

77%

Draw

Draw

14%

Away

FF Jaro

9%

Model call: AC Oulu

Expected goals: 1.7—0.4(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 2/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

AC Oulu

2

FT

FF Jaro

1

Model called (T−24h)

AC Oulu (77%)

Actually happened

AC Oulu (77%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

AC Oulu

4-2-3-1
  1. Player 43100G
  2. Player 198442D
  3. Alex LietsaD
  4. J. PirinenD
  5. Player 365366D
  6. Player 412701M
  7. Player 366131M
  8. Player 560608M
  9. Rasmus KarjalainenM
  10. Player 55528M
  11. Player 392480F

FF Jaro

3-4-2-1
  1. Player 79150G
  2. J. SkauD
  3. E. GunnarssonD
  4. Player 57395D
  5. Player 544736D
  6. Player 345325M
  7. Player 55615M
  8. Player 196365D
  9. Player 358158M
  10. H. SjögrellF
  11. Player 361422M

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

AC Oulu
0stars missing
FF Jaro
0stars missing

AC Oulu · key absences

No notable absences reported

FF Jaro · key absences

  • H. Sjögrell

    Midfielder · 686 days out

    6.68
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
10.3expected corners
Home 6.0Away 4.4
Over 9.5 corners58%
Over 10.5 corners46%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
3.9expected cards
Average ref
Home 1.8Away 2.1
Over 4.5 cards35%
Over 5.5 cards20%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

9fb727aafff797662f6d542e66cecbfaff2c2f709038795a2990608ea7115fa5
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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