Skip to main content
← All reports

SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495697

Veikkausliiga·Regular Season - 10
Ilves crest
IlvesHOME
1:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Turku PS crest
Turku PSAWAY
Sat, Jun 13 · 12:00 UTCTammelan Stadion, Tampere17°CRefereeAmir Hajizadeh, Finland◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

Draw (42%)✗ Miss

Home

Ilves

90%

Draw

Draw

9%

Away

Turku PS

1%

Model call: Ilves

Expected goals: 1.1—0.1(total 1.2)
Upset risk: 6/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%FT · 1–0Home win38%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 13

Ilves

1

FT

Turku PS

0

Model called (T−24h)

Ilves (90%)

Actually happened

Ilves (90%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Ilves

3-4-2-1
  1. Faris KrkalićG
  2. Ville KumpuD
  3. T. MiettunenD
  4. Player 287096D
  5. Matias RaleD
  6. Player 422409D
  7. Otto TiitinenM
  8. Jardell KangaM
  9. Jesse KiloM
  10. M. StjopinM
  11. Teemu HytönenF

Turku PS

3-4-3
  1. Elmo HenrikssonG
  2. Atte SihvonenD
  3. Player 55721D
  4. Player 553188D
  5. Player 392478M
  6. Player 137509M
  7. T. ZaalM
  8. Player 365254D
  9. Player 560591M
  10. Player 6841F
  11. Player 353523M

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-11T22:57:33.523Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

43e8c0172b4f8ddbb04ba65e3e43ab4c72b7be8d6041c20aab5c226abef36bba
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.

How the model works →Unlock the full report →