SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495698


◆ SPX Quant Forecast
Outcome Probabilities
Confidence 5 out of 5 confidenceGraded call · locked before kickoff
Home
Inter Turku
13%
Draw
Draw
76%
Away
AC Oulu
11%
Model call: Draw
Probability Evolution
How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle
Inter Turku
0
AC Oulu
0
Model called (T−24h)
Draw (76%)
Actually happened
Draw (76%)
Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.
Match Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.
Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-11T22:57:37.633Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Stage hash ledger
| t48h | 2026-06-11T23:11:35.681Z | da15410f1db2121172634a8b590b2553396acac97904f765e24e33ac96d89546 |
| t24h | 2026-06-11T22:57:37.633Z | DEV-4.2-1495698 |
| inPlayMin30 | 2026-06-13T12:41:02.404Z | 2f569b42a927eaedf0ed63c83d788704c6e1feb8e2391e7f3f1a170d39657064 |
| halfTime | 2026-06-13T13:41:02.454Z | fdd5c5cf0d3df06b166ecbc84c6249bb0e45679dd3408e8a60ed32cdf0b20e7c |
| inPlayMin60 | 2026-06-13T13:41:02.456Z | 219dcfb803567a90b3fff6bf7743ac143bd0b5155aeec7b2cc9a0cf1cc224949 |
| inPlayMin75 | 2026-06-13T13:41:03.931Z | 4034cb44cad4704f44dccb688473763b241a16faa5eaacbc5184681ffdfab918 |
Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.