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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495700

Veikkausliiga·Regular Season - 10
VPS crest
VPSHOME
1:1
Match Finished
HT 1-0
KuPS crest
KuPSAWAY
Sat, Jun 13 · 14:00 UTCLemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa19°CRefereePeiman Simani, Finland◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

Draw (43%)✓ Hit

Home

VPS

6%

Draw

Draw

89%

Away

KuPS

5%

Model call: Draw

Expected goals: 1.0—1.1(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%FT · 1–1Draw28%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 13

VPS

1

FT

KuPS

1

Model called (T−24h)

Draw (89%)

Actually happened

Draw (89%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

VPS

3-4-1-2
  1. Player 519984G
  2. V. RönnbergD
  3. Player 455240D
  4. Player 126618D
  5. Player 173669M
  6. Player 351586M
  7. Player 563534D
  8. K. Kouassivi-BenissanM
  9. Player 55756M
  10. Player 365803F
  11. J. MuzingaF

KuPS

4-2-3-1
  1. J. KreidlG
  2. C. AntwiD
  3. K. NuhuD
  4. A. LotjonenD
  5. T. HämäläinenD
  6. P. PennanenM
  7. Valentín GascM
  8. B. ArmahD
  9. O. RuoppiM
  10. G. EngvallF
  11. Player 52727F

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-11T22:57:46.194Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

62c1764d5a5765af101f818a1d64e593eac3cd93990e7ce0814f54e41ebb81af
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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