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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495701

Veikkausliiga·Regular Season - 10
Lahti crest
LahtiHOME
2:3
Match Finished
HT 1-1
SJK crest
SJKAWAY
Sat, Jun 13 · 16:00 UTCLahden Stadion, Lahti13°CRefereeJoni Hyytia, Finland◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

SJK (37%)✓ Hit

Home

Lahti

8%

Draw

Draw

87%

Away

SJK

6%

Model call: Draw

Expected goals: 2.0—2.1(total 4.2)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%FT · 2–3Away win35%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 13

Lahti

2

FT

SJK

3

Model called (T−24h)

Draw (87%)

Actually happened

SJK (6%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Lahti

4-3-3
  1. Player 370345G
  2. Player 317880D
  3. Player 83502D
  4. Player 558953D
  5. R. YapiD
  6. Player 269448M
  7. Player 190689M
  8. Cristóbal MontielM
  9. Player 468212F
  10. Player 366184F
  11. Player 55565F

SJK

4-3-3
  1. Roope PaunioG
  2. E. MömmöD
  3. Player 560721D
  4. Oskari VäistöD
  5. Jaakko MoisioD
  6. Player 464003M
  7. Player 560683M
  8. Markus ArsaloM
  9. Kasper PaananenM
  10. Jeremiah StrengF
  11. M. SusoM

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-11T22:57:50.984Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

ec0e48bf03077b10bb770165ff3e51a82837a260713520cc295cc51f4156047b
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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