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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1495708

Veikkausliiga·Regular Season - 11
SJK crest
SJKHOME
1:2
Match Finished
HT 1-0
VPS crest
VPSAWAY
Wed, Jun 17 · 18:00 UTCOmaSp Stadion, Seinajoki18°CRefereeDennis Antamo, Finland◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Data confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

SJK (44%)✗ Miss

In-play peak · live read

VPS 98%75'

Home

SJK

0%

Draw

Draw

2%

Away

VPS

98%

Model call: VPS

Expected goals: 1.0—2.0(total 3.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%FT · 1–2Away win44%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 17

SJK

1

FT

VPS

2

Model called (T−24h)

SJK (44%)

Actually happened

VPS (25%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

The Engine read

48 hours out the Engine leaned SJK (44%) in a close call. It finished 1-2, a VPS win — a miss on a fixture the model itself read as far from settled.

What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was SJK (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a miss in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

SJK

3-4-3
  1. Roope PaunioG
  2. Player 560721D
  3. S. ChukwudiD
  4. Salim Giabo YussifD
  5. E. MömmöD
  6. Player 560683M
  7. Player 392479M
  8. Armaan WilsonM
  9. Kasper PaananenM
  10. Jeremiah StrengF
  11. Olatoundji TessilimiF

VPS

4-5-1
  1. Player 519984G
  2. K. Kouassivi-BenissanM
  3. M. HaukiojaD
  4. Player 455240D
  5. Player 126618D
  6. Player 83389M
  7. Player 55756M
  8. Player 563534D
  9. Player 351586M
  10. Player 173669M
  11. Player 365803F

Lineup-strength edge unavailable for this fixture.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-15T06:01:09.897Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

a28ce7b8161210714950cc52a160fc8ff42b0da124ec28649dd8e494f71c3f72
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.

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