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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1505168

Ettan - Norra·
Piteå crest
PiteåHOME
2:2
Match Finished
HT 0-2
Stockholm Internazionale crest
Stockholm InternazionaleAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 12:00 UTCLF Arena15°C◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 4 out of 5 confidence

Home

Piteå

21%

Draw

Draw

18%

Away

Stockholm Internazionale

61%

Model call: Stockholm Internazionale

Expected goals: 0.6—1.3(total 1.9)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Piteå

2

FT

Stockholm Internazionale

2

Model called (T−24h)

Stockholm Internazionale (61%)

Actually happened

Draw (19%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Piteå

  1. F. Eriksson
  2. Player 572335
  3. Player 651205
  4. Player 651207
  5. Player 572394
  6. Player 572303
  7. Player 651206
  8. Player 651210
  9. Player 651211
  10. Player 572370
  11. L. Jordan

Stockholm Internazionale

  1. Player 571394
  2. D. Fällman
  3. Player 571213
  4. Player 100062
  5. Player 47913
  6. O. Jarde
  7. Player 571237
  8. Player 571249
  9. Player 319230
  10. Player 161021
  11. Player 317725

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

c00a92da6792274235d521181a346ba6546c4c6264288a807b9bb16fc3b21b7d
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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