SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1505169
◆ SPX Quant Forecast
Outcome Probabilities
Confidence 4 out of 5 confidenceHome
Umeå FC
63%
Draw
Draw
19%
Away
Stocksund
18%
Model call: Umeå FC
Probability Evolution
How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle
Umeå FC
2
Stocksund
2
Model called (T−24h)
Umeå FC (63%)
Actually happened
Draw (19%)
Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.
Match Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Umeå FC
Lukas Pihlblad
Player 560823
Player 338985
Player 303213
Player 458838
Player 516007
Player 560790
Player 655032
Player 572328
Player 413702
Player 553661
Stocksund
Player 318173
Player 572126
Player 264659
Player 572203
Player 571350
Player 571217
Player 570884
Player 571372
Player 571160
Player 571362
Player 553398
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.
Lineup Absence Impact
Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff
SPX Quant Engine
Beyond Match Outcome
Predictions not yet available for this match
SPX Quant Engine
Shot Creation Profile
Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.
SPX Quant Engine
Shot Quality
Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Pass Network
Pass network data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.