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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1505460

Primera División·Regular Season - 15
Colo Colo crest
Colo ColoHOME
3:0
Match Finished
HT 3-0
Cobresal crest
CobresalAWAY
Sat, Jun 13 · 21:30 UTCEstadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile15°CRefereeDiego Flores Seguel, Chile◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

Colo Colo (52%)✓ Hit

Home

Colo Colo

100%

Draw

Draw

0%

Away

Cobresal

0%

Model call: Colo Colo

Expected goals: 3.0—0.0(total 3.0)
Upset risk: 3/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%FT · 3–0Home win52%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 14

Colo Colo

3

FT

Cobresal

0

Model called (T−24h)

Colo Colo (100%)

Actually happened

Colo Colo (100%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-11T22:58:16.984Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

8fda6cc74e29e094b3a228254c6a29ce84167717db470f411f768084dc6046d6
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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