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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1505461

Primera División·Regular Season - 15
Coquimbo Unido crest
Coquimbo UnidoHOME
0:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
O'Higgins crest
O'HigginsAWAY
Sat, Jun 13 · 16:30 UTCRefereeMathias Riquelme, Chile◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

Coquimbo Unido (49%)✗ Miss

Home

Coquimbo Unido

2%

Draw

Draw

97%

Away

O'Higgins

1%

Model call: Draw

Expected goals: 0.0—0.0(total 0.0)
Upset risk: 6/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%FT · 0–0Draw49%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 13

Coquimbo Unido

0

FT

O'Higgins

0

Model called (T−24h)

Draw (97%)

Actually happened

Draw (97%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-11T22:57:59.811Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

e2abc4fefa47f9308b314c9e811a27d0f4df49d96faaf7833a104efd21227182
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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