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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1505462

Primera División·Regular Season - 15
Concepción crest
ConcepciónHOME
3:2
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Deportes Limache crest
Deportes LimacheAWAY
Sun, Jun 14 · 16:30 UTCEstadio Ester Roa, RefereeF. Vejar◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

Draw (38%)✗ Miss

Home

Concepción

94%

Draw

Draw

6%

Away

Deportes Limache

0%

Model call: Concepción

Expected goals: 2.0—1.1(total 3.1)
Upset risk: 6/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%FT · 3–2Home win34%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 14

Concepción

3

FT

Deportes Limache

2

Model called (T−24h)

Concepción (94%)

Actually happened

Concepción (94%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-12T07:11:56.685Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

084be5903debcff5c9db470417cd5391396d65c867ecdc83f5ba29a483b2efda
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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