Skip to main content
← All reports

SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1511599

Primera B·
San Marcos de Arica crest
San Marcos de AricaHOME
0:1
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Deportes Temuco crest
Deportes TemucoAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 00:00 UTCEstadio Carlos Dittborn◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

San Marcos de Arica

47%

Draw

Draw

26%

Away

Deportes Temuco

27%

Model call: San Marcos de Arica

Expected goals: 1.2—0.8(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

San Marcos de Arica

0

FT

Deportes Temuco

1

Model called (T−24h)

San Marcos de Arica (47%)

Actually happened

Deportes Temuco (27%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

San Marcos de Arica

  1. Player 554667
  2. A. Barrios
  3. Á. Cazula
  4. Player 554621
  5. Y. Águila
  6. Player 554668
  7. N. Donadell
  8. Player 564075
  9. Player 590488
  10. Player 567012
  11. Player 554669

Deportes Temuco

  1. Y. Urra
  2. R. Gonzalez
  3. Player 5229
  4. Player 567015
  5. Player 125787
  6. Player 554628
  7. C. Núñez
  8. M. Cuadra
  9. D. Buonanotte
  10. Player 628444
  11. Player 554678

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

0b4d0d5617c40ea562099760e545a2f74ae69d9a00be561f4d247673ad477f44
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.

How the model works →