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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1512632

Primera División·
Universitario crest
UniversitarioHOME
2:1
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Sport Huancayo crest
Sport HuancayoAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 01:00 UTCEstadio MonumentalRefereeDaniel Ureta, Peru◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 4 out of 5 confidence

Home

Universitario

64%

Draw

Draw

22%

Away

Sport Huancayo

14%

Model call: Universitario

Expected goals: 1.5—0.6(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 3/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Universitario

2

FT

Sport Huancayo

1

Model called (T−24h)

Universitario (64%)

Actually happened

Universitario (64%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Universitario

3-1-4-2
  1. D. RomeroG
  2. M. Di BenedettoD
  3. A. SantamaríaD
  4. Player 5426D
  5. J. CastilloM
  6. Player 16313M
  7. Player 39849M
  8. M. PérezM
  9. A. PoloM
  10. E. FloresF
  11. A. ValeraF

Sport Huancayo

4-2-3-1
  1. Player 39893G
  2. Player 39540D
  3. Player 532531
  4. Player 278615D
  5. Player 95809D
  6. Player 39568M
  7. Player 39765M
  8. Player 314660M
  9. N. LujánM
  10. Player 65940M
  11. Player 13527F

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Universitario
0stars missing
Sport Huancayo
0stars missing

Universitario · key absences

No notable absences reported

Sport Huancayo · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
9.6expected corners
Home 5.6Away 4.0
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners37%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
5.4expected cards
Average ref
Home 2.4Away 3.0
Over 4.5 cards62%
Over 5.5 cards45%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Each bubble = one player. Size scales with the SPX shot-quality estimate.

UniversitarioSport Huancayo
0123450'15'30'45'60'75'90'Minutes playedShots1A. Valera (F) — 5 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.34Player #39849 (M) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.22N. Luján (M) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.221Player #314660 (M) — 2 shots, 2 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.36Player #13527 (F) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.221A. Santamaría (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.18M. Di Benedetto (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04M. Pérez (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04E. Flores (F) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Sekou Gassama (F) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #278615 (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #39568 (M) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #39661 (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Pass Network

Pass volume vs completion rate. Bubble size scales with minutes played.

UniversitarioSport Huancayo
0%25%50%75%100%0102030405060Passes attemptedAccuracyD. Romero (G) — 12 passes, 10 completed (83%), 0 keyPlayer #5426 (D) — 47 passes, 40 completed (85%), 0 keyA. Santamaría (D) — 32 passes, 30 completed (94%), 0 keyM. Di Benedetto (D) — 46 passes, 40 completed (87%), 1 keyJ. Castillo (M) — 42 passes, 36 completed (86%), 0 keyA. Polo (M) — 50 passes, 45 completed (90%), 4 keyM. Pérez (M) — 28 passes, 25 completed (89%), 0 keyPlayer #39849 (M) — 57 passes, 46 completed (81%), 1 keyPlayer #16313 (M) — 57 passes, 49 completed (86%), 2 keyA. Valera (F) — 13 passes, 12 completed (92%), 2 keyE. Flores (F) — 24 passes, 18 completed (75%), 4 keySekou Gassama (F) — 3 passes, 3 completed (100%), 0 keyB. Reyna (F) — 4 passes, 4 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #39826 (M) — 1 passes, 1 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #39893 (G) — 13 passes, 9 completed (69%), 0 keyPlayer #95809 (D) — 33 passes, 21 completed (64%), 2 keyPlayer #278615 (D) — 29 passes, 23 completed (79%), 0 keyY. Murillo (D) — 15 passes, 14 completed (93%), 0 keyPlayer #39540 (D) — 37 passes, 30 completed (81%), 0 keyPlayer #39765 (M) — 22 passes, 20 completed (91%), 0 keyPlayer #39568 (M) — 35 passes, 31 completed (89%), 2 keyPlayer #65940 (M) — 21 passes, 17 completed (81%), 3 keyN. Luján (M) — 22 passes, 16 completed (73%), 3 keyPlayer #314660 (M) — 23 passes, 15 completed (65%), 0 keyPlayer #13527 (F) — 8 passes, 8 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #95652 (F) — 6 passes, 6 completed (100%), 1 keyPlayer #39661 (D) — 20 passes, 15 completed (75%), 0 keyPlayer #431653 (F) — 4 passes, 3 completed (75%), 0 keyPlayer #40141 (D) — 8 passes, 7 completed (88%), 0 keyPlayer #39821 (M) — 8 passes, 7 completed (88%), 0 key
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

2915e6633ccac31144e3c393d435e25e650db914b76f734b9e7e74ac190f3735
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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