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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1513131

MLS Next Pro·
Ventura County crest
Ventura CountyHOME
2:1
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Vancouver Whitecaps II crest
Vancouver Whitecaps IIAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 02:00 UTCDignity Health Sports Park◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Ventura County

49%

Draw

Draw

23%

Away

Vancouver Whitecaps II

28%

Model call: Ventura County

Expected goals: 1.2—0.8(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Ventura County

2

FT

Vancouver Whitecaps II

1

Model called (T−24h)

Ventura County (48%)

Actually happened

Ventura County (48%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Ventura County

  1. Player 644879
  2. Player 542351
  3. Player 644880
  4. Player 542327
  5. Player 393250
  6. Player 541877
  7. Player 541881
  8. Player 542352
  9. Player 541880
  10. Player 541879
  11. J. Placias

Vancouver Whitecaps II

  1. Player 542479
  2. Player 644847
  3. P. Amponsah
  4. Player 644395
  5. Player 610408
  6. Player 541994
  7. Player 644881
  8. Player 663130
  9. Player 542271
  10. Player 644264
  11. Player 554511

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

0e29d570d11d8943cfee6ebefbd456920530cd3bd3d54bc9fe014cc3d0b6ad08
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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