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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1513132

MLS Next Pro·
Huntsville City crest
Huntsville CityHOME
2:2
Match Finished
HT 1-1
Connecticut FC crest
Connecticut FCAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 00:00 UTCJoe W. Davis Stadium26°C◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 4 out of 5 confidence

Home

Huntsville City

57%

Draw

Draw

20%

Away

Connecticut FC

23%

Model call: Huntsville City

Expected goals: 1.4—0.7(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Huntsville City

2

FT

Connecticut FC

2

Model called (T−24h)

Huntsville City (58%)

Actually happened

Draw (20%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Huntsville City

  1. Player 369898
  2. J. Gaines
  3. Player 645892
  4. Player 413209
  5. Player 541931
  6. Player 655123
  7. Player 334601
  8. N. Pariano
  9. A. Jarvis
  10. Player 645540
  11. Player 542332

Connecticut FC

  1. Player 543411
  2. R. van Hees
  3. Player 644840
  4. Player 644873
  5. Player 316791
  6. A. Monis
  7. Player 644841
  8. Player 646431
  9. Player 644839
  10. Player 618391
  11. Player 359453

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

0906e55a700637d0a3208ab1ef841be1836df5cdc516a6998fe57550928a908e
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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