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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1523177

Super League·
Tianjin Teda crest
Tianjin TedaHOME
1:0
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Dalian Zhixing crest
Dalian ZhixingAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 11:00 UTCTEDA Football Stadium31°CRefereeKun Ai, China◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

Tianjin Teda

7%

Draw

Draw

19%

Away

Dalian Zhixing

74%

Model call: Dalian Zhixing

Expected goals: 0.3—1.6(total 1.9)
Upset risk: 2/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Tianjin Teda

1

FT

Dalian Zhixing

0

Model called (T−24h)

Dalian Zhixing (75%)

Actually happened

Tianjin Teda (7%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Tianjin Teda

5-4-1
  1. Player 322099G
  2. Player 110257D
  3. Player 266711D
  4. Aitor CórdobaD
  5. Yang FanD
  6. Player 12658D
  7. Bruno XadasM
  8. Jaume GrauM
  9. Huang JiahuiM
  10. Alberto QuilesM
  11. Guilherme SchettineF

Dalian Zhixing

4-4-2
  1. Player 78852G
  2. Player 417963D
  3. Player 41279D
  4. Player 12954D
  5. Player 369726D
  6. F. AcheampongM
  7. I. AlimiM
  8. Player 292446M
  9. Player 12785M
  10. C. MaleleF
  11. N. StanciuF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Tianjin Teda
0stars missing
Dalian Zhixing
0stars missing

Tianjin Teda · key absences

  • Shi Yan

    Midfielder · 433 days out

    6.45

Dalian Zhixing · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
10.1expected corners
Home 4.8Away 5.2
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners43%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
4.3expected cards
Average ref
Home 2.0Away 2.4
Over 4.5 cards43%
Over 5.5 cards27%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Each bubble = one player. Size scales with the SPX shot-quality estimate.

Tianjin TedaDalian Zhixing
0123450'15'30'45'60'75'90'Minutes playedShotsN. Stanciu (F) — 5 shots, 2 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.48Alberto Quiles (M) — 3 shots, 2 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.401Aitor Córdoba (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #266711 (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Bruno Xadas (M) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Guilherme Schettine (F) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Player #12954 (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Player #41279 (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Player #12785 (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04I. Alimi (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04C. Malele (F) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Pass Network

Pass volume vs completion rate. Bubble size scales with minutes played.

Tianjin TedaDalian Zhixing
0%25%50%75%100%0204060Passes attemptedAccuracyPlayer #322099 (G) — 35 passes, 8 completed (23%), 0 keyPlayer #12658 (D) — 11 passes, 8 completed (73%), 0 keyYang Fan (D) — 12 passes, 7 completed (58%), 1 keyAitor Córdoba (D) — 16 passes, 15 completed (94%), 0 keyPlayer #266711 (D) — 18 passes, 14 completed (78%), 0 keyPlayer #110257 (D) — 14 passes, 9 completed (64%), 1 keyAlberto Quiles (M) — 16 passes, 9 completed (56%), 0 keyHuang Jiahui (M) — 16 passes, 15 completed (94%), 0 keyJaume Grau (M) — 16 passes, 11 completed (69%), 0 keyBruno Xadas (M) — 20 passes, 14 completed (70%), 1 keyGuilherme Schettine (F) — 21 passes, 17 completed (81%), 1 keyPlayer #364008 (D) — 10 passes, 10 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #13083 (M) — 4 passes, 4 completed (100%), 0 keyXie Weijun (F) — 3 passes, 2 completed (67%), 0 keyShi Yan (M) — 4 passes, 3 completed (75%), 0 keyPlayer #78852 (G) — 13 passes, 13 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #369726 (D) — 41 passes, 33 completed (80%), 2 keyPlayer #12954 (D) — 54 passes, 46 completed (85%), 0 keyPlayer #41279 (D) — 58 passes, 52 completed (90%), 1 keyPlayer #417963 (D) — 66 passes, 58 completed (88%), 3 keyPlayer #12785 (M) — 11 passes, 11 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #292446 (M) — 31 passes, 26 completed (84%), 0 keyI. Alimi (M) — 53 passes, 48 completed (91%), 1 keyF. Acheampong (M) — 21 passes, 15 completed (71%), 1 keyN. Stanciu (F) — 43 passes, 35 completed (81%), 2 keyC. Malele (F) — 16 passes, 9 completed (56%), 1 keyPlayer #423785 (M) — 18 passes, 14 completed (78%), 0 keyPlayer #12696 (M) — 18 passes, 15 completed (83%), 0 keyPlayer #461594 (F) — 9 passes, 8 completed (89%), 0 keyPlayer #12816 (F) — 2 passes, 1 completed (50%), 0 key
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

2c4f357506847da6db7888a1e93d603021aa776f2c9a570411c1da2a6457d128
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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