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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1523178

Super League·
Wuhan Three Towns crest
Wuhan Three TownsHOME
1:1
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Yunnan Yukun crest
Yunnan YukunAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 11:35 UTCWuhan Sports Center Stadium28°CRefereeYunkun Ma, China◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 4 out of 5 confidence

Home

Wuhan Three Towns

17%

Draw

Draw

22%

Away

Yunnan Yukun

61%

Model call: Yunnan Yukun

Expected goals: 0.6—1.4(total 1.9)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
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✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Wuhan Three Towns

1

FT

Yunnan Yukun

1

Model called (T−24h)

Yunnan Yukun (60%)

Actually happened

Draw (22%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns

4-4-2
  1. Fang JingqiG
  2. Player 514723D
  3. Player 293865D
  4. Player 12680D
  5. Ming TianD
  6. Player 428993M
  7. Adriano FirminoM
  8. Liao ChengjianM
  9. Player 78750M
  10. J. CádizF
  11. Gustavo SauerF

Yunnan Yukun

4-3-3
  1. Player 13037G
  2. Player 12781D
  3. A. BurcăD
  4. Player 12683D
  5. Player 370187D
  6. Player 13122M
  7. Zhao YuhaoM
  8. Player 12942M
  9. O. MarituF
  10. CleberF
  11. Alexandru Ioniţă IIF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Wuhan Three Towns
1star missing
Yunnan Yukun
0stars missing

Wuhan Three Towns · key absences

  • Fang Jingqi

    Goalkeeper · 404 days out

    7.13

Yunnan Yukun · key absences

  • Zhao Yuhao

    Midfielder · 404 days out

    6.51

  • Li Songyi

    Defender · 406 days out

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
10.1expected corners
Home 6.1Away 4.1
Over 9.5 corners56%
Over 10.5 corners43%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
4.1expected cards
Average ref
Home 2.0Away 2.1
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Each bubble = one player. Size scales with the SPX shot-quality estimate.

Wuhan Three TownsYunnan Yukun
0123450'15'30'45'60'75'90'Minutes playedShots1J. Cádiz (F) — 4 shots, 2 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.44Player #428993 (M) — 3 shots, 2 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.40O. Maritu (F) — 2 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.08Player #293865 (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Player #78750 (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Adriano Firmino (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04A. Burcă (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.041Player #12781 (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.18Cleber (F) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #560830 (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Pass Network

Pass volume vs completion rate. Bubble size scales with minutes played.

Wuhan Three TownsYunnan Yukun
0%25%50%75%100%0102030405060Passes attemptedAccuracyFang Jingqi (G) — 17 passes, 11 completed (65%), 0 keyMing Tian (D) — 14 passes, 7 completed (50%), 0 keyPlayer #12680 (D) — 32 passes, 28 completed (88%), 0 keyPlayer #293865 (D) — 44 passes, 42 completed (95%), 0 keyPlayer #514723 (D) — 18 passes, 16 completed (89%), 1 keyPlayer #78750 (M) — 15 passes, 7 completed (47%), 1 keyLiao Chengjian (M) — 28 passes, 21 completed (75%), 2 keyAdriano Firmino (M) — 55 passes, 50 completed (91%), 1 keyPlayer #428993 (M) — 30 passes, 26 completed (87%), 0 keyGustavo Sauer (F) — 24 passes, 16 completed (67%), 3 keyJ. Cádiz (F) — 22 passes, 15 completed (68%), 2 keyPlayer #12845 (M) — 14 passes, 12 completed (86%), 0 keyPlayer #80867 (D) — 14 passes, 13 completed (93%), 1 keyPlayer #12913 (M) — 7 passes, 5 completed (71%), 0 keyPlayer #12907 (M) — 17 passes, 13 completed (76%), 0 keyPlayer #547917 (F) — 3 passes, 3 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #13037 (G) — 21 passes, 14 completed (67%), 0 keyPlayer #370187 (D) — 15 passes, 11 completed (73%), 0 keyPlayer #12683 (D) — 33 passes, 30 completed (91%), 0 keyA. Burcă (D) — 45 passes, 40 completed (89%), 0 keyPlayer #12781 (D) — 25 passes, 20 completed (80%), 1 keyPlayer #12942 (M) — 37 passes, 25 completed (68%), 0 keyZhao Yuhao (M) — 28 passes, 24 completed (86%), 0 keyPlayer #13122 (M) — 14 passes, 13 completed (93%), 1 keyAlexandru Ioniţă II (F) — 23 passes, 20 completed (87%), 1 keyCleber (F) — 12 passes, 7 completed (58%), 1 keyO. Maritu (F) — 18 passes, 13 completed (72%), 3 keyYang Zihao (D) — 15 passes, 11 completed (73%), 0 keyPlayer #12927 (D) — 7 passes, 6 completed (86%), 0 keyPlayer #560830 (M) — 7 passes, 5 completed (71%), 1 keyYi Teng (D) — 2 passes, 2 completed (100%), 0 key
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

46eb70ae7cda743cbca58ac991d4553856e336dee0211c4369ee62ce541577c5
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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